Warren Buffett Bets on Japan for the Next 50 Years

Mon May 05 2025
Warren Buffett doubles down on Japan, confirming Berkshire Hathaway's decades-long commitment to Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Sumitomo, Marubeni, and Itochu. Here's why Japan’s trading giants are central to his global strategy.

🇯🇵 Buffett Goes Long — Really Long — on Japan

Warren Buffett just made one thing very clear at Berkshire Hathaway’s 2025 Annual Meeting:

He’s not touching those Japanese stocks — not for 50 years.

Yep. That’s half a century of confidence in Japan’s five biggest trading houses: Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Sumitomo, Marubeni, and Itochu. This isn't a global hedge. It's a high-conviction, slow-burn power play.


📈 Why Japan? Why Now?

Buffett’s Japan play started in 2019. While everyone else was laser-focused on Silicon Valley, he was quietly stacking shares in companies that run global trade. From energy to metals to food — these firms are supply chain titans.

And now?

  • Berkshire owns nearly 10% of each.
  • Buffett says he's not selling “for at least 50 years.”
  • And if regulations loosen? He wants to buy more.

This is not a vibes-based investment. It’s strategy. And it’s vintage Buffett.


💬 "We’re Not Going Anywhere" — The Buffett Philosophy

At the AGM, Buffett was calm, classic, and committed:

“We’re in Japan for the long haul. And we mean it.”

Vice Chairman Greg Abel backed it up. This isn’t about short-term returns. It’s about:

  • Global diversification
  • Commodity dominance
  • And stable growth in a post-pandemic world

Buffett believes these Japanese firms will thrive in global trade — and he’s betting Berkshire’s future on it.


📊 Markets Love the Signal

Analysts are eating it up. Buffett’s long-term Japan bet is seen as:

  • A bullish sign for Japan’s economic rebound
  • A green light for institutional capital
  • A potential spark for U.S.–Japan financial integration

And with post-COVID supply chains getting restructured globally, Japan’s role in energy, shipping, and materials is back in the spotlight.


🔮 The Next Phase: Going Deeper

Buffett didn’t just say he’s holding. He hinted at something more: collaboration.

Think:

  • Cross-border joint ventures
  • Deeper strategic alliances
  • Berkshire helping Japanese trading houses expand into new global markets

Also on the radar? Possible regulatory reforms in Japan that could raise the foreign ownership ceiling — giving Buffett room to buy more.


🧠 TL;DR:

  • Buffett isn’t leaving Japan — he’s doubling down for 50 years.
  • Berkshire owns 10% of Japan’s top five trading houses.
  • The strategy? Long-term global trade, stable returns, and cross-border growth.
  • If foreign ownership laws shift, expect Berkshire to go even deeper.
  • For Buffett, Japan isn’t a hedge — it’s a cornerstone of global expansion.

When Buffett commits, he doesn’t blink. Japan just became a permanent chapter in the Berkshire playbook.

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