On November 19, 2025, Bitcoin traded near $92,000 with a modest 0.57% uptick — but Bloomberg’s senior macro analyst Mike McGlone says the real story is far more dangerous. In a stark warning, he argues BTC could plunge back to $10,000, mirroring the infamous 2018 breakdown when Bitcoin fell from $10,000 to $3,000.
At the same time, the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index dropped 14%, underscoring severe volatility across digital assets and strengthening McGlone’s bearish case.
McGlone argues that Bitcoin’s current macro setup resembles its 2018 structure: a euphoric run-up followed by tightening liquidity, aggressive speculation, and a structural failure to hold key supports.
“In 2018, I predicted that Bitcoin would fall from $10,000 to zero. I was right about 70%. Now I say the same: BTC could return to $10,000.”
He believes that accelerating ETF outflows and derivative-driven forced liquidations could create a cascading selloff similar to previous crypto winters.
Noelle Acheson, former Head of Research at CoinDesk, delivered her own warning: a break below $90,000 may signal institutional hesitation amid tightening liquidity across global markets.
“A drop below $90,000 may reflect institutional uncertainty amid global liquidity concerns.”
Combined with McGlone’s macro-driven thesis, the market atmosphere is shifting from optimistic accumulation to defensive repositioning.
Bitcoin ETFs — once the primary engine behind BTC’s rise to all-time highs — are now contributing to sell pressure. Outflows force issuers to offload BTC, which can exacerbate price declines, especially when liquidity is thin.
McGlone argues that leveraged traders and ETF redemptions create a fragile structure where small shocks trigger outsized moves.
A megacrash of this magnitude would:
While most analysts view a full retracement to $10K as extreme, the volatility and macro environment make the scenario impossible to rule out entirely.
Bitcoin’s macro outlook remains clouded by:
For now, the market remains caught between historical fear and long-term bullish fundamentals — but analysts warn that volatility may only intensify from here.
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