Citigroup Warns $6.6T Bank Outflow as Stablecoins Gain Ground

Thu Aug 28 2025
Citigroup projects stablecoins could pull $6.6 trillion from U.S. banks by 2028, capturing 10% of the money supply and reshaping Treasury markets.

🏦 Citigroup: Stablecoins Could Bleed 6.6 Trillion from Banks

Wall Street just got a wake-up call: Citi analysts say stablecoins could suck trillions from traditional banks, rewriting the rules of global finance.


⚡ Quick Hits

  • 💸 6.6T — potential outflow from bank deposits into stablecoins
  • 🪙 10% of U.S. money supply could be stablecoin-based by 2028
  • 13× faster transaction speeds vs. banks
  • 📊 1T annual stablecoin volume expected within 3 years
  • 🎯 Long game: stablecoin issuers = top U.S. Treasury holders

🚨 Banks vs. Blockchain: A 1980s Remix

Citi is sounding alarms that echo the 1980s money-market fund crisis. Back then, deposits fled banks into higher-yield alternatives, flipping liquidity upside down.

This time? It’s not money market funds — it’s stablecoins.

  • Easy, instant, borderless transactions.
  • Lower fees, faster settlements.
  • Growing trust from retail and institutional players.

And the number? 6.6 trillion at risk of leaving banks for blockchain rails.


🪙 Stablecoins: The New Money Market Funds

Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, and USDe are evolving from “crypto tools” into mainstream cash substitutes.

Citi’s projection:

  • 10% of the U.S. money supply could migrate into stablecoins by 2028.
  • 1 trillion+ in yearly transaction volume.
  • Speed advantage: 13× faster than banks.

For consumers, it means frictionless payments. For banks, it means a shrinking deposit base — and higher funding costs.


📉 Impact on Banks

  • Liquidity crunch: fewer deposits = tighter lending.
  • Rising costs: higher interest rates for businesses and borrowers.
  • Survival mode: banks must innovate or watch deposits vanish into DeFi rails.

As Citi put it: the “banking moat” is eroding.


📈 Stablecoins as Treasury Titans

Fast-forward to 2030: stablecoin issuers could become some of the largest buyers of U.S. Treasuries.

Imagine:

  • Tether, Circle, or Ripple holding massive stacks of short-term government debt.
  • Stablecoin issuers shaping funding markets like megabanks once did.
  • Crypto tokens, not banks, anchoring America’s financial system.

That’s not just disruption — that’s a regime change.


🔮 The Bigger Picture

Stablecoins aren’t just “crypto cousins” anymore. They’re morphing into:

  • Payment rails (cheaper, faster, global).
  • Financial infrastructure (direct links to U.S. Treasuries).
  • Monetary weapons (reshaping dollar dominance).

For regulators and policymakers, the question isn’t if stablecoins matter — it’s how fast they’ll rewire the system.


✍️ TL;DR

Citigroup analysts warn stablecoins could drain 6.6T from U.S. banks by 2028 as deposits flee into faster, cheaper, blockchain-based alternatives. With stablecoins on track to reach 10% of the money supply and issuers poised to become top Treasury holders, the shift could echo the 1980s money-market crisis — but at crypto speed. Banks face higher costs, regulators face tough choices, and stablecoins may quietly become the backbone of U.S. finance.

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