🚀 Bitcoin at 110K+: Is This the Final Stretch of the Bull Run?

Bitcoin smashed through 110,774, but history (and the charts) hint the party may not last forever. Analysts say we’re in the late innings of this cycle — with volatility ahead and a possible market reset lurking in 2026.

⚡ Quick Hits

• 💰 BTC Price: 110,774
• 📊 Key support: 109,400 (short-term realized price)
• 🏦 Long-term holder baseline: 36,700
• ⏳ Cycle projection (TradingShot):
  • Peak: Oct 13, 2025
  • Bear phase: Dec 1, 2025 → Oct 5, 2026
• 📉 Potential playbook: Short-term volatility → long-term correction → accumulation

🌀 The Supercycle Map

Renowned analyst TradingShot sees Bitcoin’s current rally echoing historical “supercycles.”

His Fibonacci-based timeline calls for:

• 🎯 October 13, 2025: Peak of the bull run
• ❄️ December 2025 – October 2026: Bear phase kicks in
• 💎 October 5, 2026: Market bottom, prime accumulation zone

If this symmetry plays out, Bitcoin could notch one more high before the lights dim.

🔍 On-Chain Reality Check

Cycle theory is one thing. On-chain data tells us where the cracks could appear.

Analyst Ali Martinez (via Glassnode) highlights two critical realized price levels:

• Short-term holders (STH): 109,400
• Long-term holders (LTH): 36,700

👉 Why it matters:

• Breaking below 109,400 often signals the start of a downtrend.
• Dropping under 36,700 historically defines deep bear markets.

Right now, BTC trades just above 110K — skating close to that STH line in the sand.

⏱ The “Final Leg” Narrative

Put the pieces together and here’s the vibe:

• Late-stage bull market → strong price, but upside is narrowing.
• Volatility window → expect sharp swings around support.
• Inevitable correction → bear phase lines up with past cycle patterns.

For long-term investors, that’s not doom — it’s opportunity. Historically, the best accumulation zones open right after the crowd panics out.

🚨 Why It Matters

• For traders: The 109.4K support is the line to watch. Lose it, and the correction could accelerate.
• For investors: The roadmap points to a 2026 bottom, where the next generational buying window could appear.
• For markets: This cycle may reinforce the rhythm of Bitcoin’s four-year heartbeat — hype, peak, crash, rebuild.

✍️ TL;DR

Bitcoin is cruising at 110K+, but cycle analysis and on-chain data suggest the bull run is in its final stretch. Analysts eye a peak in October 2025, with a bear phase lasting into late 2026. The key support? 109.4K — hold it, and the run continues. Lose it, and the correction begins. Long-term? That dip could be the setup for Bitcoin’s next explosive rally.