Bitcoin prices remain high — but the mood is anything but bullish. The market’s Comprehensive Sentiment Index has plunged below –70, signaling “Extreme Fear” even as BTC trades above $110K. The divergence suggests a defensive phase marked by low liquidity, weak inflows, and cautious positioning.
Bitcoin’s market mood has flipped dramatically.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, the Comprehensive Sentiment Index (CSI) has dropped below –70 — a zone historically associated with panic and capitulation.
The twist? BTC is still trading above $110,000.
“We’re witnessing extreme pessimism at high price levels — a sign of deep caution and defensive positioning,” Adler noted.
The CSI blends several metrics:
The scale runs from –100 (capitulation) to +100 (euphoria), and this week’s plunge below –70 echoes sentiment levels seen during major sell-offs in early 2024.
Bitcoin’s high price and low optimism make for an unusual pairing.
Despite holding strong above six figures, data shows:
The result: a defensive market where participants are positioned to survive, not speculate.
“This kind of fear at elevated prices often precedes accumulation,” Adler explained, “but we’re not seeing strong conviction buying yet.”
Data from CryptoAppsy paints a tense picture:
The market structure shows fading momentum as BTC oscillates between $109K–$112K, with resistance near $115K and support around $108K.
The divergence between price strength and sentiment collapse signals that Bitcoin is entering a cautious consolidation phase.
Such conditions often precede longer-term accumulation, but they can also bring short-term volatility spikes, especially as liquidity dries up.
This isn’t euphoria — it’s exhaustion.
Bitcoin’s defensive sentiment reflects a market struggling to find direction in a tightening macro environment. With institutional inflows slowing and retail fear returning, the next few weeks will test whether BTC’s $100K zone is a launchpad — or a trapdoor.
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