China’s Money Supply Emerges as Hidden Driver of Bitcoin Price

Fri Aug 22 2025
Alphractal’s new report shows Bitcoin price movements track China’s M2 money supply, with liquidity injections from the People’s Bank of China fueling BTC gains despite bearish sentiment.

China’s Money Printer Is Quietly Pumping Bitcoin

New research says Bitcoin’s price has less to do with hype and more to do with China’s cash floodgates.


⚡ Quick Hits

  • 💴 China M2: ¥329.94T (+8.78% YoY, −0.10% MoM)
  • 💵 US M2: 22.02T (+4.53% YoY, +0.63% MoM)
  • 📉 Market Mood: Bearish
  • 📊 Signal: When China’s M2 outpaces U.S. M2 → BTC tends to pump

🐉 Beijing’s Liquidity → Bitcoin’s Lifeline

Forget memes and halving cycles — macro money supply is moving Bitcoin.

Alphractal’s new report shows a tight correlation: whenever China’s M2 liquidity grows faster than America’s, Bitcoin feels the tailwind. The People’s Bank of China’s injections don’t just juice local markets — they ripple straight into BTC charts.

Right now, China’s money supply is expanding faster than the U.S.’s. That imbalance has lined up with Bitcoin’s recent uptick.


🏦 What Exactly Is M2?

Think of it as a liquidity X-ray:

  • M1: physical cash + demand deposits.
  • Extras: savings accounts, time deposits, retail money markets.

In short, M2 = the cash you can actually spend or invest.

When Beijing’s M2 growth outruns Washington’s, investors see it as a green light for risk assets — crypto included.


📉 The Mood vs The Math

Here’s the kicker:

  • Liquidity signals = bullish.
  • Market psychology = still bearish.

So while China’s liquidity flows look like rocket fuel, sentiment is dragging. Traders are hesitant, but macro liquidity says BTC has room to breathe.


🌍 Bigger Picture

This isn’t just about China vs. U.S. numbers. It’s a reminder that:

  • Bitcoin ≠ isolated. It’s plugged into global liquidity cycles.
  • Central banks are shadow players. PBoC policy can move BTC just as much as ETFs.
  • Macro > memes. Degens might chase trends, but macro money supply is the invisible hand.

TL;DR

  • Bitcoin’s price is increasingly tied to China’s M2 money supply.
  • When China outpaces the U.S. in liquidity growth, BTC tends to climb.
  • PBoC’s injections ripple beyond Asia — they lift crypto globally.
  • Market sentiment remains bearish, but macro signals hint bullish.

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