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Monero (XMR) Breaks Into Bullish Momentum — Eyes $440 Resistance

Sun Nov 16 2025

Monero surges toward $420 on strong inflows, bullish EMAs, and trendline support. Key resistance at $440 could confirm a full trend reversal.

🔒 Monero Breaks Into Bull Mode — XMR Eyes $440 and a Full Trend Reversal

Privacy king XMR posts its strongest inflows in over a month, flipping every major trend indicator green.

Monero (XMR) is trading near $420 after buyers regained control and pushed price back above the rising trendline that has defined the market since September. Fresh data from Coinglass shows $1.38M in daily inflows — the strongest accumulation day in more than a month — signaling a decisive shift toward bullish momentum.

🔎 Quick Facts

💰 Daily inflows: $1.38M — highest in 30+ days
📈 Price: ~$420
📊 EMAs: XMR trading above 20/50/100/200-day EMAs
🟢 Supertrend flipped bullish at ~$325
☁️ Reclaimed Ichimoku Cloud — now using it as support
🚧 Key resistance: $440

📈 The Trend Turns Bullish

XMR’s daily chart shows a clean bullish structure. Monero now sits above all major EMAs:

20-day EMA: $367.67
50-day EMA: $340.13
100-day EMA: $321.30
200-day EMA: $300.59

All EMAs slope upward — a textbook stacked bullish configuration. The Supertrend flipped green at ~$325, confirming trend reversal from neutral to bullish.

☁️ Above the Cloud: Ichimoku Turns Supportive

Early November brought a major technical milestone: XMR reclaimed the Ichimoku cloud and now trades comfortably above it.

The cloud now acts as dynamic support between $340–$360, reinforcing a constructive medium-term outlook.

🚧 The $440 Barrier — Monero’s Gate to a Trend Breakout

Horizontal resistance at $440 remains the key ceiling. It rejected multiple rally attempts throughout 2025.

A confirmed breakout above $440 would signal:

📈 the end of multi-month consolidation
🚀 a direct path toward $455–$470
📊 renewed strong trend continuation

Strong inflows will be crucial to fuel this next leg.

📉 Key Supports to Watch

The rising trendline from the September low remains essential — buyers are expected to defend it on any retests.

Support 1: $405
Support 2: $392 (structural invalidation if lost)
Support 3: $380 (aligned with Supertrend + swing lows)

⏳ Intraday Momentum

XMR trades near $420 with:

🟢 Parabolic SAR flipped bullish at $425
📊 RSI at 59 — positive without overheating
🔼 Higher lows forming across multiple sessions

Short-term resistance stands at $428–$432. A breakout above $432 opens a direct retest of the $440 macro barrier.

📉 Scenarios

🟢 Bullish Case

Break above $440 activates $455–$470 targets
Inflows continue supporting upward pressure
Trendline + cloud + stacked EMAs reinforce the bull structure

🔻 Bearish Case

Close below $392 weakens structure
Pullback toward $360 and rising trendline possible

🧭 The Bigger Picture

Monero is showing its strongest momentum in months: stacked EMAs, reclaimed cloud, bullish SAR, rising inflows, and steady higher lows.

But the entire structure hinges on one level — $440. Break it, and XMR enters a fresh bullish phase. Fail there, and price may revisit support to rebuild strength.